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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Nicola Slawson

First Thing: China population falls for first time in more than 60 years

A woman holds a baby at a park in Beijing, China.
China’s population has shrunk for the first time since 1961. Photograph: Kevin Frayer/Getty

Good morning.

China has entered an “era of negative population growth”, after figures revealed a drop in the number of people for the first time since 1961.

The country had 1.41175 billion people at the end of 2022, compared with 1.41260 billion a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday, a fall of 850,000. It marked the beginning of what is expected to be a long period of population decline, despite government efforts to reverse the trend.

Speaking on the eve of the data’s release, Cai Fang, the vice-chair of the agriculture and rural affairs committee of the National People’s Congress, said China’s population had reached its peak in 2022, much earlier than expected. “Experts in the fields of population and economics have predicted that by 2022 or no later than 2023, my country will enter an era of negative population growth,” Cai said.

China’s government has for several years been scrambling to encourage people to have more children, and stave off the looming demographic crisis caused by an ageing population. Some provinces or cities have announced cash payments to parents who have a second or third child. Last week, the city of Shenzhen announced financial incentives that translate into a total of 37,500 yuan ($5,550) for a three-child family.

  • Why are people resistant to having bigger families? Online, some Chinese people were unsurprised by the announcement, saying the social pressures driving the low birthrate remained. “Housing prices, welfare, education, healthcare – reasons why people can’t afford to have children,” said one commenter on Weibo. “Now who dares to have children? Housing prices are so expensive, no one wants to get married and even fall in love, let alone have children,” said another.

Democratic plans to overhaul primary process hit a fresh snag

A voter leaves a polling booth during the New Hampshire Democratic primary in February 2020.
A voter leaves a polling booth during the New Hampshire Democratic primary in February 2020. Photograph: Joseph Prezioso/AFP/Getty Images

The Democratic party’s rationale for shaking up its presidential primary process was fairly straightforward: the system is dominated by two predominantly white states who vote first, giving people of color little say in choosing the potential next president.

Facing fuming New Hampshire officials, however, and a Georgia Republican party happy to meddle in Democrats’ plans, the Joe Biden-led effort to make things more equitable looks increasingly in peril.

New Hampshire, which has held the first presidential primary for decades, is particularly unyielding, raising the prospect of a rogue vote taking place in the state.

The Democratic National Committee approved a new primary schedule in December 2022, which would introduce the most significant changes to the way a potential president is selected in decades.

  • What does the Democratic party want to do? Democrats want South Carolina, a more racially diverse state than Iowa and New Hampshire, to have first say in whom the Democratic party should nominate for president. The proposal would mean New Hampshire would vote a week later, along with Nevada, while Georgia – another racially diverse state, and one that was crucial to Biden’s 2020 victory and the Democrats’ successful holding of the Senate in 2022 – would go next.

California rainstorms ‘among the most deadly disasters in our history’

A home on agricultural land is seen amid flooding from the Salinas River in Salinas, California, US.
A home on agricultural land is seen amid flooding from the Salinas River in Salinas, California. Photograph: David Swanson/Reuters

As more dangerous storms bear down on California, the state is only just beginning to grapple with the destruction and death left by weeks of extreme weather that wreaked havoc in nearly every region from the northern coast to Los Angeles.

The series of storms that have pummeled California since late December have killed at least 19 people, brought hurricane-force winds that toppled trees and power lines, cutting energy to thousands, and flooded roads and rivers, covering swaths of land in dense mud and debris that stretches for miles. Entire communities have been forced to evacuate from their homes while road closures and power disruptions left some rural regions isolated and almost cut off from the outside world.

Authorities are still documenting the toll of the disaster, an effort that has been hampered by another onslaught of storms. Biden has approved emergency declarations from 41 of California’s 58 counties.

“These storms are among the most deadly natural disasters in the modern history of our state,” Nancy Ward, the director of the governor’s office of emergency services, said at a briefing on Friday.

  • What are the experts saying? “This has been a deadly storm sequence. The damage will probably be at least in the hundreds of millions if not higher before all is said and done,” the climate scientist Daniel Swain said. “And the disruption to people, even people who have stayed relatively safe – there are a lot of folks who have been without power and without road access to where they live for a long time.”

In other news …

Solomon Pena, a Republican candidate for New Mexico
Solomon Pena, a Republican candidate for New Mexico, was taken into custody in connection with a recent series of shootings targeting Democrats. Photograph: Roberto E Rosales/AP
  • A failed Republican state legislative candidate, who authorities say was angry over losing an election in November and made baseless claims that the vote was “rigged”, has been arrested in connection with a series of drive-by shootings targeting the homes of Democratic lawmakers in Albuquerque.

  • More than 7,000 civilians have been killed in Ukraine since Russia invaded its neighbour last February, the Office of the UN high commissioner for human rights said yesterday. The UN rights office said it had confirmed 7,031 civilian deaths but believed the actual casualty tolls were considerably higher.

  • Nick Cave has dissected a song produced by the viral chatbot software ChatGPT “written in the style of Nick Cave”, calling it “bullshit” and “a grotesque mockery of what it is to be human”. The singer-songwriter dissects lyrics produced by the popular chatbot in his newsletter the Red Hand Files.

  • The co-pilot of the Yeti Airlines flight that crashed on Sunday in Nepal was the widow of a pilot who flew for the same airline, and also died in a plane crash 16 years ago. No survivors have been found so far among the 72 people onboard. It is the Himalayan country’s deadliest plane accident in three decades.

Stat of the day: Despite net zero pledges, banks have invested $270bn in fossil fuels, study finds

A pump jack operates in front of a drilling rig at sunset in an oilfield in Midland, Texas.
A pump jack operates in front of a drilling rig at sunset in an oilfield in Midland, Texas. Photograph: Nick Oxford/Reuters

Banks and finance institutions that have signed up to net zero pledges are still investing heavily in fossil fuels, research has shown, leading to accusations they are acting as “climate arsonists”. The UK boasted at Cop26 that 450 organizations in 45 countries with assets of more than $130tn had signed up to GFANZ, to align their investments with the goal of limiting global temperature rises to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels. But its members have poured hundreds of billions into fossil fuels since then, according to data compiled by the pressure group Reclaim Finance. At least 56 of the biggest banks in the net zero banking alliance grouping have provided $270bn to 102 fossil fuel companies for their expansion.

Don’t miss this: How do you say the word ‘sun’ in Cree? It starts with learning respect

Illustration of an Indigenous woman with a white woman behind her.
‘There are about a dozen Indigenous languages in our state, and every one of them has its own set of protocols about who can provide materials.’ Illustration: Darby Raymond-Overstreet/the Guardian

According to the UN, an Indigenous language is lost every two weeks. Unesco has designated this the decade of Indigenous languages. Successful revitalization efforts are crucial because language is the underpinning of culture. Without language, there are no ceremonies. Entire cultures vanish if the people within them can no longer express their identity. This most devastating loss is a direct result of colonization, primarily by European settlers over the last few centuries. With every required English class, every tax code, every Eurocentric approach to our society, from education to governance, colonization is perpetuated. And languages continue to disappear.

Climate check: Warning of unprecedented heatwaves as El Niño forecast to return in 2023

A man looks at the carcasses of animals that died during an El Niño-related drought in southern Hargeisa, Somaliland.
A man looks at the carcasses of animals that died during an El Niño-related drought in southern Hargeisa, Somaliland. Photograph: Feisal Omar/Reuters

The return of the El Niño climate phenomenon this year will cause global temperatures to rise “off the chart” and deliver unprecedented heatwaves, scientists have warned. Early forecasts suggest El Niño will exacerbate extreme weather, making it “very likely” the world will exceed 1.5C of warming. The hottest year in recorded history, 2016, was driven by a powerful El Niño. This year is forecast to be hotter than 2022, which global datasets rank as the fifth or sixth hottest on record. But El Niño occurs during the northern hemisphere winter and its heating effect takes months to be felt, meaning 2024 is more likely to set a new global temperature record.

Last thing: Berlin fashion spoof causes chaos as Adidas denies involvement

Garments from the Realitywear collection shown at the spoof launch event
Garments from the Realitywear collection shown at the spoof launch event. ‘This announcement is not by Adidas and not correct,’ a spokesperson for the sportswear company said. Photograph: Odd Andersen/AFP/Getty Images

Adidas has had to deny it appointed a former Cambodian union leader as its new co-chief executive as a spoof launch event at Berlin fashion week caused confusion in the fashion world. A press release, written by the activist duo The Yes Men and sent from a fake Adidas email address, announced a “revolutionary plan” for the sportswear brand, designed to “own the reality” of working conditions in the south-east Asian factories where many of its clothes are made. This was to be underlined by a new “realitywear” product range, supposedly curated by the rapper and producer Pharrell Williams, consisting of garments “upcycled from clothing worn non-stop for six months by Cambodian workers who are owed wages withheld during the pandemic”.

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