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D. Brian Blank, Assistant Professor of Finance, Mississippi State University

Fed faces twin threats of recession and financial crisis as its inflation fight raises risks of both

Staving off both recession and a financial crisis may take more than a hope and a prayer. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

There is wide agreement among economists and market observers that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes will cause economic growth to grind to a halt, leading to a recession. Less talked about is the risk of a financial crisis as the U.S. central bank simultaneously tries to shrink its massive balance sheet.

As expected, the Fed on Nov. 2, 2022, lifted borrowing costs by 0.75 percentage point – its fourth straight hike of that size, which brings its benchmark rate to as high as 4%.

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