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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Gaia Vince

Extreme weather is our new reality. We must accept it and begin planning

A silhouetted helicopter drops water over a landscape at night lit up by fire all around in the Palisades fire, Los Angeles, in mid-January.
A helicopter drops water on the Palisades fire in Los Angeles, in mid-January. Photograph: Patrick T Fallon/Getty Images

Not yet a quarter of the way into this century and global average temperatures are already 1.75C above the preindustrial average. January 2025 was the hottest on record and has also set a record for the highest yearly minimum global surface temperature, and likely the highest minimum in the past 120,000 years. It is part of a clear pattern. Last year’s global average was 1.6C above the preindustrial – a sobering reality check, given that, only three months ago at the UN Cop29 summit in Baku, Azerbaijan, leaders were still declaring that limiting global temperature rises to 1.5C was within reach.

We are firmly in the post-climate change world now, and the serious implications of this demand honest acknowledgment. The reality is that we are living now in a time of continual disasters that are unfolding alongside our slower, planetary scale disaster. In this riskier time, we need to prepare.

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