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Fortune
Fortune
Sydney Lake

Even a 1% mortgage rate drop could be enough to 'unlock' the frozen housing market, Oxford Economics says

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  • Mortgage rates are currently in the high 6% range, and a drop back to the pandemic-era sub-3% levels is considered unrealistic by economists. However, a modest decline in rates to below 6% could motivate some homeowners to sell, potentially thawing the frozen housing market constrained by homeowners holding onto low-rate mortgages.

If you’re waiting for mortgage rates to fall to around 3% to buy a home, don’t hold your breath. The likelihood mortgage rates will drop anywhere near those pandemic-era levels is “unrealistic,” a Zillow economist recently said.

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