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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Julia Cagé and Thomas Piketty

Europe’s rightward drift is not set in stone: our new research should give hope to the left

French far-right politician Marine Le Pen in Paris, June 2022
French far-right politician Marine Le Pen in Paris, June 2022. Photograph: Christophe Archambault/AFP/Getty Images

Across Europe, from Italy to Hungary through Finland and Greece, the far right is rising in the polls, governments are shifting right and the left is collapsing. Are we entering a new political era, and can the left ever return to power? In other words, is the rightward drift inevitable?

We examined historical voting data going back to the French Revolution – and the findings, contained in our new book, offer a more optimistic view of what may happen in the coming years. They highlight the potential strength of the left’s electoral base and suggest that tacking to the right on migration to win back the working-class vote is a political dead end.

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