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ABC News
ABC News
National
weather reporter Tyne Logan

El Niño predictions differ between US and Australian forecast agencies. Who is right?

El Niño United States BoM NOAA Australia Ocean
BOM is predicting a 50 per cent chance of El Niño developing this winter or spring, while NOAA says it's 90. (ABC News: Sharon Gordon)

The US and Australia's chief forecasting agencies are projecting vastly different odds on the development of an El Niño climate pattern this year.

In their latest climate update, Australia's Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has remained firm on their projection that there is a 50 per cent chance of the major climate driver, linked to warmer, drier weather, developing this winter or spring.

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