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Bangkok Post
Bangkok Post
Business

Economists Seek Recession Clues in the Yield Curve

As yields on two-year Treasury notes last week moved above yields on 10-year notes, Wall Street analysts sent up warning flares.

Economists -- like ancient soothsayers divining the future -- track how interest rates of different maturities vary for signals about the outlook for growth.

When short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates, a phenomenon Wall Street mavens call an inverted yield curve, it is sometimes a signal of recession.

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