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ED CARSON

Dow Jones Futures: Bitcoin Tops $100,000 Amid Powell Comments; Nvidia Ready To Run?

Dow Jones futures edged lower early Thursday, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures. Bitcoin topped $100,000 overnight.

The stock market rally had a strong Wednesday, with all the major indexes hitting fresh highs on strong earnings from Salesforce.com, Marvell Technology and other techs. Software in particular was strong.

Stocks extended gains slightly as Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell reiterated his upbeat take on the economy and the Fed's independence. Powell also buoyed bitcoin, saying the cryptocurrency is "digital gold."

Nvidia broke back above key resistance and a buy point. Is the artificial intelligence leader ready for a new run?

Confluent, HubSpot, Snowflake, Roku, SharkNinja, Powell Industries and Chipotle Mexican Grill all flashed buy signals.

Nvidia stock is on IBD Leaderboard, SwingTrader and the IBD 50. Confluent was Wednesday's IBD Stock Of The Day.

Dow Jones Futures Today

Dow Jones futures fell slightly vs. fair value. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures lost a fraction.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.21%.

Crude oil wavered as OPEC+ reportedly agreed to delay an oil-output hike by three months. Another delay was expected.

Remember that overnight action in Dow futures and elsewhere doesn't necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular stock market session.

Bitcoin Tops $100,000 After Powell Boosts 'Digital Gold'

Bitcoin topped $100,000 for the first time Wednesday night, exceeding the late November peak of $99,768. It quickly sprinted as high as $103,844. It's currently right at $103,000.

Crypto-related stocks and ETFs were strong movers in the premarket, including Coinbase and Microstrategy.

The cryptocurrency jumped 3.45% to $98,972.09 as of 4 p.m. ET Wednesday on Fed chief Powell's "digital gold" comments. He also said bitcoin isn't a real competitor to the dollar, suggesting little Fed concern with the digital asset. Hours earlier, President-elect Trump tapped former SEC Commissioner Paul Atkins to head up the financial markets watchdog. Atkins is seen as a pro-crypto pick.

Key Earnings

SentinelOne, nCino, Synopsys, AeroVironment and American Eagle Outfitters reported Wednesday night.

All fell sharply in premarket action. Synopsys, SentinelOne and nCino are set to undercut buy points.

Join IBD experts as they analyze leading stocks and the market on IBD Live

Stock Market Rally

The stock market rally had a Nasdaq-led advance Wednesday, fueled by software and other tech earnings, weak economic data and an upbeat Fed chief Powell.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.7% in Wednesday's stock market trading. The S&P 500 index gained 0.6%, with Salesforce stock leading the way with an 11% gain. The Nasdaq composite jumped 1.3%. All hit record highs intraday.

The small-cap Russell 2000 climbed 0.4%, close to all-time levels.

It was a strong day for tech growth stocks, while energy and commodity plays retreated. Homebuilders struggled even with Treasury yields falling.

U.S. crude oil prices fell 2% to $68.54 a barrel.

The 10-year Treasury yield fell four basis points to 4.18% after hitting 4.28% intraday. The ADP Employment Report and the ISM services index both came in light for November.

ETFs

Among growth ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF popped 1.15%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF jumped 3.9%. Salesforce stock is the No. 1 holding, with Confluent, HubSpot, SentinelOne and nCino also in IGV. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF gained 1.7%. Nvidia stock is the No. 1 component with Marvell also in the ETF. Chip-design software maker Synopsys is in both IGV and SMH.

ARK Innovation ETF rallied 3.1% and ARK Genomics ETF advanced 1.7%.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF fell 1.45%. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF sank 1.5%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF slumped 2.4% and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund lost a fraction.

The Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund rose 0.4%. The Financial Select SPDR ETF declined 0.4%.

Time The Market With IBD's ETF Market Strategy

Nvidia Stock Ready To Run?

Nvidia stock rose 3.5% to 145.14 Wednesday, regaining the 21-day moving average and a 140.76 buy point, according to MarketSurge. Investors could use the 150 level as an add-on entry above the bulk of the past few weeks of action.

Additionally, Nvidia is likely benefiting from Marvell, which gapped up 23.2% Wednesday to a record high following earnings.

NVDA stock, rebounding this week from the 10-week line, has been consolidating since late June. Despite its massive move since late 2022, Nvidia doesn't have a high valuation on a forward price-earnings basis, thanks to still-huge growth.

So perhaps the AI leader is ready for another run. Of course, that was arguably true also back at the late October breakout. Getting above the trading range will be key.

Why This IBD Tool Simplifies The Search For Top Stocks

What To Do Now

The stock market rally looks strong, with tech taking the lead once again.

A number of stocks broke out or offered traditional entries Wednesday, including those cited above. Meanwhile, a number of leaders made bullish moves off the 21-day line or out of short consolidations, including Fortinet and Intuitive Surgical.

The advantage is that investors get a chance to buy or add to the market rally's real winners, with "heat" working. But the entries are higher risk, so be ready to exit.

Definitely be working on watchlists, so you can identify setups. Stay engaged so you can take advantage. But if you're already heavily or fully invested, you don't have to jump on every stock flashing green. And if you do make new buys, you might make room by cutting laggards or choosing to bank profits in some highly extended winners.

Read The Big Picture every day to stay in sync with the market direction and leading stocks and sectors.

Please follow Ed Carson on Threads at @edcarson1971 and X/Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and more.

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