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Barchart
Barchart
Rich Asplund

Dollar Gains as Strong Jobs Report Reduces Fed Rate Cut Chances

The dollar index (DXY00) recovered from a 1.5-week low on Wednesday and finished up by +0.08%.  The dollar moved higher after Wednesday's better-than-expected US Jan payroll report pushed T-note yields higher and dampened speculation of additional Fed interest rate cuts.  The chance of a Fed rate cut at next month's FOMC meeting fell to 6% from 23% before the release of Wednesday's monthly payroll report.  Hawkish comments on Wednesday from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid also supported the dollar when he said the Fed should hold rates at a "somewhat restrictive" level.

US MBA mortgage applications fell -0.3% in the week ended February 6, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down -2.4% and the refinancing mortgage sub-index up +1.2%.  The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was unchanged from the prior week at 6.21%.

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