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Barchart
Barchart
Rich Asplund

Dollar Falls on Expectations of Easier Fed Policy

The dollar index (DXY00) today is down by -0.24%.  The dollar is moving lower today after the Dec Empire manufacturing survey of general business conditions unexpectedly contracted, a dovish factor for Fed policy.  Also, the strength in stocks today has reduced liquidity demand for the dollar.  The dollar dropped to its low after Fed Governor Stephen Miran said the Fed's policy stance is unnecessarily restrictive on the economy. 

The dollar is also under pressure as the Fed boosts liquidity in the financial system and began purchasing $40 billion a month in T-bills effective last Friday.  Finally, the dollar is also being undercut by concerns that President Trump intends to appoint a dovish Fed Chair, which would be bearish for the dollar.  Mr. Trump recently said that he will announce his selection for the new Fed Chair in early 2026.  Bloomberg reported that National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is the most likely choice as the next Fed Chair, seen by markets as the most dovish candidate.

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