The dollar index (DXY00) is down -0.22%, as bearish underlying dollar sentiment outweighed today's stronger-than-expected US GDP report and the reduced odds for Fed easing. The markets today reduced the odds for a -25 bp rate cut to 13% from 20% at the next FOMC meeting on January 27-28.
The dollar continues to see underlying weakness as the FOMC is expected to cut interest rates by about -50 bp in 2026, while the BOJ is expected to raise rates by another +25 bp in 2026, and the ECB is expected to leave rates unchanged in 2026.
