Kristi Noem is hanging onto her job by a thread according to two popular “prediction market” sites which have placed her odds of being fired at around 40%. The sudden shift comes after the Secretary of Homeland Security made unsubstantiated claims against Alex Pretti, the victim of the most recent ICE shooting.
At last it seems like members of Donald Trump’s corrupt cabinet could see consequences for their actions as the likelihood of Noem being fired has jumped significantly. Prior to Pretti’s death the odds of her departure were around 12% but the probability of such an outcome has since jumped to 40% on Kalshi, and is currently sitting at 44% on Polymarket. Both are very popular prediction market sites.
