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Fortune
Fortune
Jeff John Roberts

Did Polymarket's founder fly too close to the sun? What the FBI raid means for Shayne Coplan and his business

Photo collage of CEO Shayne Coplan (Credit: Illustration by Chris Burnett; Photo courtesy Polymarket)

In early November, Shayne Coplan had a week he will remember for the rest of his life: He received a phone call from the highest echelons of Mar-a-Lago. He went on TV for the first time. And he had his New York City apartment raided by the FBI.

The eventful few days underscore the precarious position of both 26-year-old Coplan and his startup Polymarket, the online prediction market that became a household name during the last few months of the presidential campaign—and, in the days and hours before election night, forecast the outcome more accurately than most polls.

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