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Fortune
Fortune
Christiaan Hetzner

Deutsche Bank puts U.S. recession chances near 100%—avoiding hard landing “unprecedented”

Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell will not be able to avoid a recession, predicts Deutsche Bank. (Credit: Drew Angerer—Getty Images)

It appears as if U.S. economists may have popped the champagne corks on a soft landing too early—at least, according to Deutsche Bank. 

The German multinational bank's top research team believes Washington has sparked a boom-bust cycle that now is nearing its end stage. In its house view, the recession slated to arrive as soon as October is the inevitable consequence of a series of aggressive rate hikes designed to extinguish the very flames of inflation that policymakers ignited through their own actions during the COVID pandemic.

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