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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Sport
Daniel Harris

Damning data: Erik ten Hag’s Manchester United failings by numbers

Marcus Rashford, Erik ten Hag and Joshua Zirkzee, Manchester figures all under heavy scrutiny given the team’s poor start to the season
(From left) Marcus Rashford, Erik ten Hag and Joshua Zirkzee, Manchester United figures all under heavy scrutiny. Composite: Guardian design

Manchester United return to action against Brentford on Saturday afternoon and that means the spotlight once again falling on Erik ten Hag. The Dutchman is under scrutiny given his team’s unimpressive start to the season and, unfortunately for him, the data backs up the naked eye – United are performing incredibly poorly, and have been doing so for some time under their increasingly beleaguered manager.

Bad comparisons and form since first cup win

Excluding Ryan Giggs and Michael Carrick, who managed only six league games between them, of United managers since Alex Ferguson, only Ralf Rangnick – who arrived mid-season into a toxic environment and was not allowed to buy players – achieved fewer points per game than Ten Hag. Though it’s fair to note that Louis van Gaal was sacked not only because of poor form but because his side was awful to watch, and José Mourinho for those reasons and also for alienating various members of the squad, both they and Ole Gunnar Solskjær have better league records than Ten Hag – and none received the same level of financial backing. Ten Hag might argue that United’s best post-Fergie performance came under him in last season’s FA Cup final and he would probably be right, but there can be no doubt that under him, and particularly since the Carabao Cup win in 2023, United have been little short of abominable.

Beginning like they do not mean to go on

United’s draw with Aston Villa in their most recent game meant Ten Hag did what might be termed as a reverse Mondo Duplantis, setting then breaking his own unwanted record. After registering United’s worst start to a Premier League season in 2023-24, his side accumulating nine points from their first seven games, the Dutchman added Matthijs de Ligt and Noussair Mazraoui, two players he knows well and who are familiar with his methods, along with Joshua Zirkzee and Manuel Ugarte, only for his team to get even worse. United’s total of eight points gained and five goals scored – one of those a deflection – is embarrassing, and they have only found the net against Fulham, Brighton and Southampton, with blanks drawn against Liverpool, Crystal Palace, Spurs and Villa. It does not feel possible to have these players playing any less effectively.

Hammer time, over and over again

It is not just the number of defeats under Ten Hag but the manner of them. In his care, United have been beaten 6-3 by Manchester City and 4-0 and 7-0 at Liverpool – results inexcusable and unconscionable in any circumstances. It is fair to note that those undressings came against fine sides and even Ferguson struggled at Anfield. Perhaps more damning, then, are 4-0 defeats by Brentford, Brighton and Palace, and 3-0 home reverses to Bournemouth and Spurs – to say nothing of closer games in which United still conceded several goals, often in clusters. And it is not just conceding that is a problem. United also struggle to score, despite Ten Hag spending big on Antony, Rasmus Højlund and Zirkzee. That there have been flashes is almost more damning for Ten Hag because the sense is that under another manager, things might look different.

Rashford’s retreat to far left and poor form

The season before last, Marcus Rashford scored 30 goals in 56 games, playing mainly as a wide attacker looking to drive at his full-back and attack the box. Since then, he has managed 12 goals in 54 games, and though there are other reasons for this – the absence of a left-back able to help him, the poor form of others around him … perhaps stuff in his own mind – it is also the case that he is now playing wider for reasons unfathomable to anyone bar Ten Hag. Though Rashford has developed the ability to threaten his man on the outside, that is not natural for him – he is no crosser, his eye for a pass is best deployed closer to goal, and at his best the attacker is explosive in the box.

Onana far from being an Old Trafford No 1

Ten Hag bought André Onana, his goalkeeper at Ajax, not because he is a brilliant organiser or shot-stopper. The attraction was his passing ability. Yet United struggle to milk that strength, with Onana often hitting hopeful long balls. Hence United “enjoy” most possession near their own goal and in safe areas on the flanks, struggling to progress the ball.

Ten Hag’s team are literally all over the place

A major criticism of Ten Hag is that his team have no style, appearing to change their method on an almost weekly basis, rather than commit to a particular style of play which is then tweaked according to the opposition. As such, it’s no surprise to see that their starting distance – the number of metres from their own goal their open-play passing sequences begins – varies from game to game. This helps explain the team’s lack of attacking and defensive cohesion.

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