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The Economic Times
The Economic Times
Milan Vaishnav

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty’s fragile trend flags deeper volatility as selling pressure intensifies

The markets remained under sustained corrective pressure throughout the week and ended lower, as sellers retained control at higher levels. Nifty oscillated in a broad 734-point range as the index touched a high of 23,997.45 and a low of 23,262.55. The volatility component also edged higher; India VIX rose 11.58% to 18.79 on a weekly basis, reflecting growing nervousness and elevated risk perception among market participants. The headline index ended the week with a net loss of 532.65 points (-2.20%).

From a structural standpoint, Nifty continues to remain in a vulnerable setup after failing to sustain above the crucial 24,500–24,700 zone, which coincides with the 100-week moving average and the middle Bollinger band region. The index has slipped back below the 50-week moving average placed near 24,985, keeping the intermediate trend under pressure. The broader price structure suggests that the market is presently trapped inside a wide consolidation-to-corrective formation with lower highs emerging on rebounds. The zone near 23,200–23,000 remains an important support area; any decisive violation of this range may trigger a fresh leg of weakness toward lower levels. On the upside, the markets would require a strong move above 24,300–24,500 to improve the technical structure meaningfully and revive directional strength.

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