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Bangkok Post
Bangkok Post
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Crypto's path to deep crisis is well-worn

Swiftly rising interest rates have punctured the cryptocurrency bubble, exposing fragility, bad governance and even fraud in many corners, most notably at the crypto exchange FTX. And FTX's spectacular collapse comes on the heels of other recent failures in the cryptosphere, such as Terra-Luna, Three Arrows Capital or Voyager Digital. No one should be surprised -- not even at how many people were surprised.

"There is no new thing under the sun," Ecclesiastes reminds us. Only the assets were new; the narrative of the crypto crisis nevertheless was established long ago. The collapse began, as financial collapses often do, with a bubble. Investor demand outpaced reasonable near-term expectations of what cryptocurrencies could achieve. Impractical as a means of exchange, the uses of Bitcoin, Ethereum and the rest seemed limited to financial speculation and illegal activity.

But historically low interest rates fuelled the mania for what crypto could become. Due diligence took a back seat to skyrocketing asset prices. Cheap money made it easier for firms to take on excessive leverage. Investors needed increasingly bigger returns to outpace the market and beat their competition.

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