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Sports Illustrated
Sports Illustrated
Sport
Bryan Fischer

College Football Playoff and Bowl Projections After Week 1: Notre Dame Remains Top Team

Week 1 is (almost) in the books and, thanks to our first look at teams across the country, we now have a better idea about who is tracking for a good season on the field and who may be quietly engaging a search firm to find a new head coach.

That’s reflected in Sports Illustrated’s latest bowl projections going into Labor Day, which includes several notable newcomers (hello, Colorado and UMass!) and plenty of intriguing matchups—from old FCS foes getting together in the Frisco Football Classic to an old Big Eight reunion in the similarly named Frisco Bowl.

Here’s our projection of the College Football Playoff and 35 bowl games for the 2026–27 season after Week 1.


College Football Playoff Projected Rankings After Week 1

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Ohio State
  3. Georgia
  4. Miami
  5. LSU
  6. Texas
  7. Oregon
  8. BYU
  9. Indiana
  10. Oklahoma
  11. USC
  12. Boise State

First Round

  • No. 12 Boise State at No. 5 LSU
  • No. 11 USC at No. 6 Texas
  • No. 10 Oklahoma at No. 7 Oregon
  • No. 9 Indiana at No. 8 BYU

Quarterfinals

  • Cotton Bowl: No. 4 Miami vs. No. 5 LSU
  • Peach Bowl: No. 3 Georgia vs. No. 6 Texas
  • Rose Bowl: No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 7 Oregon
  • Fiesta Bowl: No. 1 Notre Dame vs. No. 8 BYU

Semifinals

  • Sugar Bowl: No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 6 Texas
  • Orange Bowl: No. 1 Notre Dame vs. No. 4 Miami

National Championship

  • At Las Vegas: No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 4 Miami

Bowl Projections After Week 1

Bowl Game Date Matchup
Salute to Veterans Bowl Dec. 15 Arkansas State vs. Jacksonville State
Frisco Football Classic Dec. 15 James Madison vs. North Dakota State
Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 18 UMass vs. FAU
Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 18 NC State vs. Auburn
Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 21 USF vs. Louisiana Tech
Potato Bowl Dec. 21 Miami (Ohio) vs. Air Force
Puerto Rico Bowl Dec. 22 Central Michigan vs. Kennesaw State
Cure Bowl Dec. 22 Memphis vs. Western Michigan
Independence Bowl Dec. 22 UCF vs. Tulsa
New Orleans Bowl Dec. 23 Liberty vs. Old Dominion
Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 UTSA vs. New Mexico
Frisco Bowl Dec. 23 Kansas State vs. Nebraska
Poinsettia Bowl Dec. 23 San Diego State vs. UCLA
New Mexico Bowl Dec. 24 Cal vs. Colorado State
Hawai’i Bowl Dec. 24 Fresno State vs. Hawai’i
Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 26 Louisville vs. Iowa
Fenway Bowl Dec. 26 Duke vs. East Carolina
Mayo Bowl Dec. 26 Virginia Tech vs. Illinois
68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 26 Troy vs. Temple
Cactus Bowl Dec. 26 Cincinnati vs. Wisconsin
Military Bowl Dec. 26 Wake Forest vs. Navy
Arizona Bowl Dec. 27 Toledo vs. UNLV
Holiday Bowl Dec. 28 Utah vs. Clemson
Birmingham Bowl Dec. 29 Western Kentucky vs. Army
Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 29 Houston vs. Pitt
Alamo Bowl Dec. 29 Texas Tech vs. Washington
Gator Bowl Dec. 30 SMU vs. Alabama
Music City Bowl Dec. 30 Florida vs. Minnesota
ReliaQuest Bowl Dec. 31 Michigan vs. Texas A&M
Sun Bowl Dec. 31 Colorado vs. Virginia
Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 31 Arizona State vs. Tennessee
Texas Bowl Dec. 31 TCU vs. Missouri
Citrus Bowl Jan. 2 Penn State vs. Mississippi
First Responder Bowl Jan. 2 Maryland vs. Arizona
Liberty Bowl Jan. 2 West Virginia vs. South Carolina

MORE COLLEGE FOOTBALL FROM SPORTS ILLUSTRATED

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