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Rich Asplund

Coffee Prices Pressured by the Outlook for a Record Brazil Coffee Crop

Ice Brazil BI FAs

May arabica coffee (KCK26) today is down -7.35 (-2.44%), and May ICE robusta coffee (RMK26) is down -159 (-4.43%).

Coffee prices are sharply lower today, with arabica posting a 1-week low and robusta posting a 7.75-month low. The outlook for a record Brazilian coffee crop is weighing on coffee prices. Last Thursday, Marex Group Plc projected a record 2026/27 Brazil coffee crop of 75.9 million bags, even higher than Sucafina's forecast of 75.4 million bags, up +15.5% y/y. Earlier this month, StoneX raised its Brazil 2026/27 coffee production estimate to a record 75.3 million bags, up from a November estimate of 70.7 million bags.

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