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Barchart
Barchart
Rich Asplund

Coffee Prices Fall as USDA Predicts 6% Increase in Global Coffee Production

Ice USDA Brazil Vietnam

September arabica coffee (KCU26) today is down -7.05 (-2.23%), and September ICE robusta coffee (RMU26) is down -86 (-2.27%).

Coffee prices are lower today after the USDA forecast late Wednesday that global coffee output in the 2026-27 season will rise by +6.0% (10.8 million bags) to a record 189.7 million bags, mainly due to improved growing conditions in Brazil. The USDA expects global arabica production to rise +12% y/y, although robusta production is expected to fall by -0.7% y/y. World ending stocks are expected to rise +1.9 million bags to 26.3 million bags. On June 3, the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) forecast a record 2026/27 Brazil coffee crop of 71.9 million bags, up +14% y/y.

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