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Latin Times
Latin Times
Politics
Rebecca Montecinos

Cilia Flores: What the Betting Markets Really Say About Her Chances of Walking Free This Year

Manifestantes portan pancartas en apoyo al derrocado presidente venezolano Nicolás Maduro y su esposa Cilia Flores, frente al Tribunal Federal Daniel Patrick Moynihan en la ciudad de Nueva York, el 22 de julio de 2026. El derrocado presidente de Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro, comparecerá ante un tribunal federal el miércoles, en su tercera audiencia pública desde que el ejército estadounidense lo capturara en una sorprendente redada nocturna en enero. El exmandatario, de 63 años, y su esposa Cilia Flores permanecen detenidos en una cárcel de Brooklyn desde la operación militar estadounidense, a la espera de juicio por narcotráfico, posesión de armas y otros cargos. (Credit: Foto de TIMOTHY A. CLARY / AFP vía Getty Images)

Seven and a half months into her confinement at a federal lockup in Brooklyn, Cilia Flores has picked up an odd second identity: a line item on the internet's most-watched betting exchange. Traders on Polymarket have poured more than $1.37 million into a single wager — not whether Nicolás Maduro's wife walks free, but when. As of today, "December 31" leads every other date on the board, priced at roughly 17 cents on the dollar. That's the frontrunner, not a favorite; five out of six dollars wagered still say she stays put through year's end.

A Front-Runner, Not a Forecast

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