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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Simon Tisdall

China is bearing down on Taiwan – enabled by Trump’s weakness and vacillation

Donald Trump and Xi Jinping in Busan, South Korea, 30 October 2025.
Donald Trump and Xi Jinping in Busan, South Korea, 30 October 2025. Photograph: Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

Sheer ignorance, fed by malign intent, historical prejudice and mutual misunderstanding, is often the crucial spark that ignites simmering international conflicts. If Adolf Hitler, remarkably ignorant of the US, had grasped the true extent of American industrial might, would he still have fatefully declared war on Washington in 1941?

When the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan in 1979, it evidently had no idea what it was getting into. Humiliating defeat contributed greatly to its subsequent disintegration. In 1990, Iraq’s Saddam Hussein attacked Kuwait, convinced he had a green light from the White House. In all these cases, stupidity produced disastrous misjudgments that proved fatal.

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