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Barchart
Barchart
Amit Singh

Can the Recent Strength in Disney Stock Continue After Earnings?

Shares of the entertainment giant Walt Disney Company (DIS) are trending higher, rising over 26% in three months. This includes the recent boost from its better-than-expected Q4 earnings.

Disney’s Q4 fiscal 2024 results show its resilience and growth potential. The entertainment giant reported revenue of $22.57 billion, marking a 6% increase year-over-year. Further, its top line came in line with Wall Street's expectations. However, the real highlight was Disney's profitability.

The company’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surged 39% year-over-year to $1.14, surpassing analysts' estimate of $1.09. A key driver of this improvement was the turnaround in Disney's streaming business, which has recently shifted from being a drag on profitability to a growing source of income.

Disney’s direct-to-consumer (DTC) division, which includes popular platforms like Disney+ and Hulu, has long been seen as a critical component of its future. After consistent losses, the last two quarters' results have signaled a positive shift. The growth in streaming profits demonstrates that Disney’s strategic initiatives in this space are beginning to pay off, positioning the company for long-term growth.

Adding to the positives, Disney provided solid earnings guidance. The company expects high-single-digit growth in its EPS for fiscal 2025. Beyond that, it anticipates double-digit growth in fiscal 2026 and 2027, driven by strength in its entertainment segment and continued improvements in its DTC business.

Investors responded positively to this outlook, pushing Disney’s stock up over 6% on Nov. 14. The company delivered strong Q4 results and promising EPS guidance, but can it keep this momentum going and provide lasting value? Let’s take a closer look.

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Reviving Creativity at the Core

Disney’s resurgence can be attributed to its strategic focus on revitalizing its creative engine. Over the past two years, Disney has boosted its studios, resulting in a stellar performance at the 2024 summer box office. The company became the first studio to cross $4 billion globally this year, with hits like Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine dominating the charts.

This renewed creative strength is more than a box office boost. Instead, it’s a strategic flywheel. Successful films fuel merchandise sales, theme park attendance, and streaming engagement, creating a cycle that maximizes the value of Disney’s intellectual property (IP).

Streaming: The Key Growth Driver

Disney’s streaming strategy continues to be a key element of its growth. With the largest share of U.S. viewership across theatrical, linear, and streaming formats, Disney has leveraged its vast content library and production capabilities to outpace competitors.

A significant aspect of its streaming business is its scalability. Management has highlighted the high-margin nature of incremental subscribers, which allows Disney to improve profitability as it grows its user base. Moreover, Disney’s proprietary content pipeline—bolstered by its creative studios—enables periodic price hikes without significant churn.

The company is also enhancing its streaming experience by introducing new features, such as an improved recommendation engine, and expanding its international footprint. Notably, the integration of ESPN content into Disney+ starting Dec. 4 will strengthen its bundled offerings and drive subscriber growth further.

Sports and Digital Evolution

Disney’s foray into DTC sports is poised to reshape the market. With ESPN Digital consistently topping the U.S. Sports Category, Disney is capitalizing on its robust digital presence. The forthcoming launch of ESPN’s flagship DTC service in the fall of 2025 promises innovative features, including fantasy sports, enhanced statistics, and betting options.

These efforts align with broader industry trends, where digital sports consumption and personalized content are gaining traction. By diversifying its offerings, Disney is well-positioned to capture a larger share of the sports entertainment market.

Parks & Experiences: A Pillar of Stability

Despite industry challenges, Disney’s Experiences business, which includes theme parks, delivered record full-year revenue and operating income. The division benefits from a robust pipeline of projects, including new cruise ships and expanded theme park attractions.

Additionally, Disney's partnership with Epic Games to integrate Disney IP into a new entertainment universe will diversify its revenue, mitigate risk, and enhance its ability to monetize its brands across various platforms.

Conclusion

Disney’s strategic initiatives across content creation, streaming, sports, and experiences present a compelling growth story. 

Wall Street remains bullish on Disney, with a consensus rating of “Strong Buy.” This suggests that analysts expect the uptrend in Disney stock to continue.

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On the date of publication, Amit Singh did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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