ANALYSIS — Eight years ago, President Donald Trump’s mediocre job approval rating created a difficult national political environment for Republicans, who lost more than 40 seats in the House. But GOP senators bucked the midterm backlash and gained two seats. Could they do it again?
The April 20, 2018, edition of Inside Elections led with the following: “John Edwards’ ‘Two Americas’ speech failed to get him to the White House, but it’s an apt description of the fight for Congress in 2018. While Democrats are primed to take back the majority in the House, Republicans are in better shape in the Senate, thanks to the class of senators up this cycle.”
Even though Inside Elections doesn’t yet have a specific projected House outcome, Democrats are favored to win the majority based on the current political climate and the fact that they need a net gain of just three seats to win control.
