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Hafte Gebreselassie Gebrihet, Research fellow, University of Oslo; University of Cape Town

Can Africa survive the global aid squeeze? Yes, but it will take financial discipline

Africa faces declining aid, rising debt, climate pressure and a weakening global order. Official development assistance, the technical term for foreign aid, fell by 23.1% in 2025, the largest annual contraction on record. It’s projected to decline by a further 5.8% in 2026, before accounting for strain from the current crisis in the Middle East.

UN Trade and Development has also warned that debt servicing is diverting scarce resources from education, health, infrastructure and other development priorities.

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