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California Senate Race Tightens As Republican Garvey Gains Ground

Rep. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., speaks to supporters at the headquarters of the advocacy group, the Coalition for Humane Immigrant Rights of Los Angeles, Feb. 17, 2024. The possibility of record-low turno

The California Senate race, initially anticipated as a three-way Democratic contest, is now witnessing a potential upset due to a record-low voter turnout. Former baseball star and Republican candidate Steve Garvey's chances have been bolstered by the sluggish return of mail-in ballots, primarily from older, white, conservative-leaning voters. This trend has raised concerns for prominent progressives Reps. Adam Schiff, Barbara Lee, and Katie Porter.

Despite Schiff's fundraising and polling advantages, Garvey's rise has posed a threat to the political futures of Lee and Porter. The top two candidates from the March 5 primary will advance to the general election in November, setting the stage for a critical showdown in the liberal-leaning state.

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