Latest polls show that after the fall-out over partygate, if a General Election was held now Prime Minister Boris Johnson would lose his seat. According to YouGov, the Conservatives face the prospect of largescale losses in Con-Lab battlegrounds up and down England and Wale.
Out of 88 battleground seats that the Tories won from Labour in 2019 or hold a slim majority, they would hold on to just three: Ashfield, Bassetlaw, and Dudley North. Among the seats the Conservatives would lose is Uxbridge and South Ruislip - the constituency of Mr Johnson - where a current result would see Labout taking it by five points.
James Johnson, a former Downing Street pollster during Theresa May’s tenure, said the results could prove to be even worse than the model predicts. Remember that MRP does not pick up tactical voting or local seat effects,” he said on Twitter. "Tactical voting helps Labour and the Lib Dems at the moment, so it’s highly likely that the current picture for the Conservatives is even worse than this polling indicates.”
