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Fortune
Fortune
Nick Lichtenberg

'Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb says your city's new bike lane is the reason the economy sucks

Nassim Taleb (Credit: Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the best-selling author acclaimed for his book “The Black Swan,” delivered a powerful critique of modern America’s economic malaise during the 2025 Annual Meeting of the Ron Paul Institute. In his address,he offered seven different thoughts on the modern state of macroeconomics and the world, arguing advanced economies like the U.S. are suffering from a curse of success.

Taleb argued well-intentioned “lifestyle improvements” like new bike lanes, while popular among city planners and politicians, reveal a deeper problem silently afflicting Western economies: the illusion of growth in societies that have reached their limits of prosperity. “Many are discovering,” he said, “that lifestyle improvements, such as bicycling paths and pedestrian- and cyclist-friendly cities, may not produce economic growth.”

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