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The Economic Times
The Economic Times
Shreya Biswas

Bitcoin price outlook October 2026: Will BTC USD hit $90,000 after a 43.8% rally as Fed rate hike, oil above $100 and slowing ETF inflows loom?

Bitcoin (BTC USD) price prediction for October : Bitcoin is heading into October after a sharp summer rebound, but the rally is about to face several important tests.

Bitcoin was trading at $84,000 level on September 30. The Federal Reserve’s October 27-28 meeting could become a major focus for the cryptocurrency market, while oil prices above $100 a barrel and slower inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are adding to the uncertainty.

As per to 24/7 Wall St., Bitcoin has gained 43.8% over the past 90 days after rising from about $57,800 in early July. But despite the rebound, the cryptocurrency remains well below its record high.

Bitcoin Has Rallied 43.8% in Three Months

Bitcoin has climbed about 30% over the past 60 days and 43.8% over the past 90 days.

The cryptocurrency rose from roughly $57,800 in early July to around $84,000 on September 30, bringing buyers back into the market after the earlier decline.

Even after that recovery, Bitcoin remains 34.1% below its all-time high of $126,080, which was recorded last year on October 6.

The 24/7 Wall St. analysis also puts Bitcoin down 3.8% for the year.

The rebound has therefore recovered a significant portion of Bitcoin’s losses, but the cryptocurrency is still below its previous record.

READ ALSO: Bitcoin (BTC USD) ETFs just erased $5.8 billion deficit as investors pour in $2.84 billion in six days

Fed’s October 27-28 Meeting Could Be Crucial for Bitcoin (BTC USD)

The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate to a range of 3.75% to 4% on September 16, according to the 24/7 Wall St. report. It was the Fed’s first rate increase since 2023, and the decision was unanimous.

The Federal Open Market Committee is scheduled to meet again on October 27-28.

CME FedWatch was showing a 64% probability of another quarter-point increase in the rate, according to the same report.

Higher interest rates can weigh on Bitcoin because it does not pay interest or dividends. The 10-year Treasury yield was at 5.17% on September 25, giving investors another yield-bearing asset to consider.

At the same time, a pause in rate increases could provide support for Bitcoin.

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