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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Comment
Andy Beckett

Battered but bizarrely upbeat: why even utter defeat hasn’t shaken the Tory party’s confidence

Conservative leadership candidates Kemi Badenoch and Robert Jenrick at the Conservative party conference in Birmingham, 2 October 2024
Conservative leadership candidates Kemi Badenoch and Robert Jenrick at the Conservative party conference in Birmingham, 2 October 2024. Photograph: Henry Nicholls/AFP/Getty Images

Why exactly are the Conservatives so upbeat, barely three months after their worst-ever election defeat? At their party conference, in their leadership contest and in the Tory press, the mood has been unexpectedly positive, even unrepentant, with relatively few recriminations and little deep reflection. During the conference, I lost count of how often people told me the party would be back in power within a few years.

There are some straightforward explanations: Labour’s troubles trying to run the country; Tory relief that they have been given a break from that difficult task; the displacement activity of the leadership contest; and the fact that the grind of opposition has not properly begun yet – all these are making being out of office easier than many Tories feared during the long run-up to the election.

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