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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
Business
Peter Hannam

Australia’s falling inflation means interest rates have peaked? Don’t bank on it

Australia retail
June retail trade figures on Friday will probably confirm Australian shoppers are pulling back – but there are price pressures elsewhere. Photograph: Joel Carrett/AAP

For outgoing Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe, navigating the Australian economy along a “narrow path” between the perils of too-high inflation and a too-sudden slowdown has been the mantra for more than a year.

The June quarter’s lower than expected consumer price increases indicate the path may be widening slightly. The RBA, which left its interest rate unchanged in April and July, is strongly favoured to pause again at its August board meeting next Tuesday.

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