Forecasters are anticipating an unusually active Atlantic hurricane season in 2024, with the potential for up to 25 named storms forming between now and November. The season has already seen the emergence of Hurricane Beryl, which became the earliest category 5 storm on record in July.
Several factors have contributed to this above-normal forecast, including record-warm ocean temperatures and the presence of a growing La Niña phenomenon. These conditions are closely monitored and updated daily to track the season's activity.
One significant factor driving the active forecast is the warmer-than-usual ocean temperatures across much of the Atlantic. The presence of warm water provides favorable conditions for storm formation and intensification.
An informative map displaying data collected by satellites illustrates the deviations in ocean temperatures from normal. Darker shades on the map indicate either warmer or cooler surface temperature differences, as reported by NOAA's Coral Reef Watch program.
The number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes varies each year based on prevailing conditions. Looking back at historical data, it is evident that the most active years can yield a high number of storms.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's forecast for the Atlantic hurricane season predicts the possibility of up to 25 named storms. Among these, as many as 13 storms could be classified as hurricanes, with potentially seven reaching major hurricane status, characterized by wind speeds exceeding 111 miles per hour.
The forecast provides a range in the number of expected storms, all of which are projected to surpass the historical average. This forecast underscores the likelihood of a highly active hurricane season compared to previous years.
