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LiveScience
LiveScience
Patrick Pester

Asteroid YR4 impact odds plummet as NASA changes threat level of 'city-killer'

An illustration of an asteroid near Earth.

NASA has downgraded the threat level of potential city-killer asteroid 2024 YR4. It is now more likely to hit the moon than Earth, according to the latest data.

The space agency has been tweaking the odds of a potential strike from the 180-foot-wide (55 meters) YR4 all week. Those odds peaked at 1 in 32, or 3.1%, on Tuesday (Feb. 18), which was the highest impact probability NASA had ever recorded for a space object as big as YR4. However, the likelihood of a strike soon fell.

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