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Fortune
Fortune
Eleanor Pringle

As Wall Street shifts expectations towards a Fed rate hike, the White House turns up the pressure on Warsh's central bank

S President Donald Trump shakes hands with the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve Kevin Warsh (L) during a swearing in ceremony in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC on May 22, 2026. (Credit: Aaron Schwartz / AFP - Getty Images)

Surprisingly healthy employment data has tipped expectations for a rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) meeting higher this week, with interest rate traders now placing the likelihood at 58.4%.

According to CME’s FedWatch, nearly 60% of investors are betting on a 25bps hike to 3.75% to 4%, with the remainder of bettors suggesting the Kevin Warsh-led central bank will instead announce a hold.

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