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The Conversation
The Conversation
Mariam Farida, Lecturer in Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism Studies, Macquarie University

As Israel invades again, Lebanon faces more turmoil and possible civil war. Here are 3 ways this could go

Just two days after the US and Israel killed Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in late February, Hezbollah opened a second front in the war by launching six rockets into Israel from Lebanon.

The rockets came as a surprise to many. Hezbollah, once one of Iran’s most powerful proxy fighting forces, had been severely weakened by Israel during 13 months of fighting from late 2023–24.

The militant group had also stopped firing rockets into Israel since signing a ceasefire agreement in November 2024.

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