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Sports Illustrated
Sports Illustrated
Samuel Profeta

Arch Manning Tanking in NFL Draft Prediction Market on Kalshi

Arch Manning NFL Draft Steve Sarkisian Florida Texas Football

The Horns are down, and so is Arch Manning’s chance of being drafted first overall in next year's NFL Draft. Kalshi’s NFL Draft market prices Arch Manning at an 8% chance of going first overall, a drastic downturn from the start of the season.

Manning came into the 2026-27 college football season with a 29% chance of going first overall. His price peaked at 31% after Texas defeated No. 1 Ohio State in Week 2. However, his price has been dropping since.

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