AI Could Make The Economy Far Richer. Anthropic Says. But Knowledge Workers Could Take a Hit.

Anthropic is examining how increasingly capable AI systems could reshape economic growth, wages and employment in the U.S. through 2030. (Credit: AFP)

Artificial intelligence could sharply accelerate U.S. economic growth while at the same time leaving many knowledge workers with lower wages or without jobs if the technology becomes capable enough to automate most cognitive work, a new economic model shows.

Researchers at the Anthropic Institute modeled three scenarios for the U.S. economy through 2030, ranging from relatively modest AI adoption to an extreme case in which AI becomes more productive than humans at most knowledge-work tasks. The researchers stressed that the scenarios are not predictions and assigned no probabilities to them.