Wales are set to smash France's Grand Slam hopes with a two-point victory at the Principality Stadium - a result which will throw open the entire Six Nations title race.
That is according to a computer, anyway, which has predicted the likely outcome of this weekend's matches after simulating them several thousand times over.
If what the computer says will happen in Cardiff proves to be correct, it will mean Wayne Pivac's men dramatically overcoming the odds.
Wales are 4-1 against to beat the title-chasing French, with Les Bleus 2-7 ON favourites to triumph in Cardiff.
The computer also reckons England will smash Ireland at Twickenham and in doing so make Eddie Jones' men favourites for the Championship.
England wind up the campaign with a likely title decider with the French in Paris on the final weekend.
The calculations are made by QBE Business Insurance, who fed a complex mathematical formula into the computer based on a number of measures. These include previous Wales versus France form, the success rate of goalkickers and the impact on each team playing at home or away.
They reckon Wales will emerge from a Principality Stadium thriller with a 21-19 triumph.
The computer forecasts England thumping Ireland 32-17 and Scotland defeating Italy 32-8 in Rome.
Such an outcome, it reckons, would hand England the advantage in the title race with a 48 per cent chance of lifting the trophy, with France back at 39 per cent. Ireland would still retain a 13 per cent outside prospect, but Wales ranked at zero per cent in terms of successfully defending their title.
Wales wind up their own campaign against Italy at home, when they will expect to rack up the tries and points.
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QBE note Wales versus France has become the most closely fought contest in the Six Nations in recent years, and that has been factored into their equation.
"The last four times the two sides have faced off the winning team has not won by more than five points on any occasion and the spoils have been shared two apiece. The match Cardiff is predicted to finish 21-19 to Wales; a result that would see the recent run of tight scorelines continue.
“There is a small chance France could win every game, but the formula predicts an 86% probability that no-one will win the Grand Slam."
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