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Environment
Sophie de Bruin, Researcher in Environmental Change, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

920 million people could face conflict over the world's rivers by 2050: what our study found in Africa

The Blue Nile river passes through the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Eduardo Soteras/AFP via Getty Images

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam project on the Nile River started operating in February 2022. It reinforced tensions between Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt. The three countries rely most heavily on the Nile’s water. Sudan and Egypt consider the US$4.6 billion dam a threat to vital water supplies. Ethiopia sees it as essential for its development.

This is just one example of how conflicts can arise between states that share river basins. And there’s a real risk that such conflicts will become more common as global temperatures rise.

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