2024 NCAA Tournament: #10 Virginia vs. #10 Colorado State: Game Preview, How To Watch, Odds, Prediction
The Rams and Cavaliers face off in the First Four
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Can the Rams move on?
WHO: #10 Virginia Cavaliers (23-10) vs. #10 Colorado State Rams (24-10)
WHEN: Wednesday, March 19th — 7:10 p.m. MST / 6:10 p.m. PST
WHERE: UD Arena; Dayton, OH (13,409)
TV: TruTV
STREAM: Max will be carrying the entire NCAA Tournament
SERIES RECORD: This will be the first ever matchup between the two schools.
ODDS: Colorado State -2.5
It’s not the expected First Four matchup, but we’re here now. Colorado State was not predicted to be the final team in the tournament and Virginia was not predicted to be in the tournament at all. Now both squads face off to send themselves to the first round.
Colorado State finished 7th in the Mountain West and lost to New Mexico in the Mountain West semi-finals. Virginia finished 3rd in the ACC and lost to NC State in the ACC semi-finals. Both squads lost to the eventually tournament champions.
And they’re 𝙊𝙁𝙁! 🐏@CSUMBasketball is @MarchMadnessMBB bound taking on Virginia tomorrow at 7 p.m. MT! 🏀#Stalwart x @AlpineGardens pic.twitter.com/H1eqsN29Ua
— Colorado State Rams 🐏 (@CSURams) March 18, 2024
Players to Watch
F Jacob Groves – Virginia
The senior forward form Spokane, WA will be a player for the Rams to key on on defense. Groves is a 6’9″ forward who isn’t afraid to let it fly from deep (He has three or more attempted threes in 20 out 33 games for Virginia). Limiting Groves from deep will be a big factor for CSU.
F Joel Scott – Colorado State
The former D2 Player of the Year has stepped up in a big way for the Rams at the end of the season. Since a defeat to San Diego State in February, Scott has been averaging 16.4 points on 58.7% shooting from the floor. His inside game has been key for the Rams since they’ve struggled from the outside in conference play.
🧡💙 This is what it means!
🔶⚔️🔷#GoHoos pic.twitter.com/KDiMyngbvD
— Virginia Men's Basketball (@UVAMensHoops) March 18, 2024
Keys to the Game
Virginia
Limiting the Rams open looks and keeping them on the outside will be the keys on defense for Virginia. The Cavaliers defense is one of the best in the nation, but the CSU offense is one of the best at ball movement. If Virginia wants to play on Thursday, they’ll have to stay consistent the entire game.
On offense, the Cavaliers need to keep the Rams moving. CSU’s defense doubles the post a decent amount which leaves 4 on 3 for the offense. This causes the Rams to rotate to cover the open man and they have a tendency to overrun their rotation leaving a wide open shot or cut to the basket.
Colorado State
Wait for your shot. The Virginia defense allows for ball rotation and the CSU Princeton-style offense wants to keep the ball moving back and forth. The Cavaliers defense is suffocating, so the Rams can’t force a shot like they have been. They need to be patient and get inside looks.
When CSU is on defense, it’s a similar story. Virginia plays at the slowest tempo in the NCAA. This can lull teams to sleep at times. So the Rams will need to maintain their patience and cover their man until they get the ball back on offense.
Predictions
This one will be a dog fight. CSU has the better offense and Virginia has the better defense. The Rams have been doing damage inside and win when they do so. The Cavaliers smothering defense will keep this close. This could come down to the last couple minutes, but the Rams will use that chip on their shoulder to come out on top.
Final Score: Colorado State 62, Virginia 57
