Now that we are two and a half weeks out from the Super Bowl, we are close to having more information on these prospects.
We still have an incomplete data set when it comes to all of the prospects in the NFL draft, but it’s also still a good exercise to look at how things would turn out if the draft happened each week.
This week is when the NFL combine happens and when we find out a lot more about what these prospects are going to be.
In my latest mock draft, there are a few surprises and they start early.
1. Chicago Bears: Georgia DT Jalen Carter
In a draft without trades, Carter is the perfect player to add to the Bears defense. Matt Eberflus’ 4-3 defense is really focused on having a good penetrator at the 3-technique and Carter is as dominant as they come.
2. Houston Texans: Ohio State QB C.J. Stroud
For my money, Stroud is the best quarterback in this class. He throws it to all levels of the field with success and pinpoint accuracy along with showing the ability to create outside of structure. A lot of analysts will have Bryce Young in this spot, but I have too many questions about his frame and lack of top-level arm talent.
3. Arizona Cardinals: Texas Tech EDGE Tyree Wilson
I don’t think Wilson should go here since Will Anderson is the best defender left on the board and the top player on most people’s draft boards, but the enticing elements of Wilson are too much to pass on for the Cardinals. He is long, explosive and can play both inside and out.
4. Indianapolis Colts: Kentucky QB Will Levis
The Colts need a quarterback in the worst way and Levis fits what Chris Ballard prioritizes in a quarterback: big, accurate and a strong arm. He has work to do in terms of processing and making the right decisions down the field, but he will come in and give you an excellent quick game right away while he develops.
5. Seattle Seahawks: Alabama QB Bryce Young
Pete Carroll said in his press conference on Tuesday that he can absolutely see the Seahawks re-signing Geno Smith and drafting a quarterback. Seeing Young still on the board is a gift and they jump right on it. Geno can start for a year while they groom Young to be the guy for the next 10-15 years and this Seahawks team will have almost completed it’s rebuild.
6. Detroit Lions: Alabama EDGE Will Anderson
Speaking of gifts, the Lions get one in a tremendous pass rusher at sixth overall. Viewed as the top pass rusher in this draft class, Anderson dominated for the better part of the last three seasons for Alabama. He will come in and give the Lions a monster pairing with Aidan Hutchinson.
7. Las Vegas Raiders: Ohio State OT Paris Johnson Jr.
The Raiders could easily go quarterback here, but for that quarterback to be successful, he needs protection. Johnson Jr. can thrive at both guard and tackle, giving Josh McDaniels the ability to get his best five players on the field right away.
8. Atlanta Falcons: Clemson EDGE Myles Murphy
Murphy is going to be viewed a lot like Travon Walker was last year: a blank canvas with limitless potential. Despite being productive for Clemson, Murphy doesn’t have anything truly refined and needs a lot of technical work. What you can’t teach though is his size and athleticism combination.
9. Carolina Panthers: Florida QB Anthony Richardson
This is one of my favorite prospects in this draft class. Despite needing some work to clean up his mechanics and just be more consistent with them, Richardson is so much farther along after 13 starts than most quarterbacks are with processing. He sees the field well and wants to crush you down the field instead of running, something that he is also very good at. The coaching staff and infrastructure in Carolina is ideal for his success.
10. Philadelphia Eagles: Northwestern OT Peter Skoronski
The Eagles have been obsessed with building through the trenches for the entirety of Howie Roseman’s time as general manager. With the uncertainty surrounding the future of Lane Johnson, getting Skoronski would be ideal. He won’t wow you in any way, but he just wins and plays good football. Until Johnson retires, you can side him in at guard where he might be a better long-term fit anyways.
11. Tennessee Titans: Georgia OT Broderick Jones
After moving on from Taylor Lewan last week, the Titans desperately need two starting tackles. Jones is a hyper-athlete at the position and played very well for the national champion Georgia Bulldogs this past season. He will fit the offensive scheme that has been instituted in Tennessee very well.
12. Houston Texans: USC WR Jordan Addison
With reports getting louder that Brandin Cooks will be on the move this offseason, getting a reliable weapon for Stroud should be a priority. Addison profiles early on as a slot receiver who can be highly productive with the upside of a low-end WR1.
13. New York Jets: Oregon CB Christian Gonzalez
This is a nightmare scenario for the Jets. If this were to happen come April, a trade-down is almost certain. With no trades in this mock draft, going best player available is the smartest move. Yes, the Jets invested a top-five pick in cornerback with Sauce Gardner, but having another great corner on the roster is never a bad thing. While Gonzalez can play in press coverage, his best fit is in off-man or cover-3, both of which he will be using plenty for Robert Saleh.
14. New England Patriots: Illinois CB Devon Witherspoon
Cornerbacks who thrive in press coverage is what the Patriots value more than just about anything. With Jonathan Jones set to be a free agent, getting a cornerback, while not the top need, will be on their radar. Witherspoon plays like a loaded missile in the open field and was great this past season in man coverage.
15. Green Bay Packers: TE Michael Mayer
The Packers haven’t drafted an offensive weapon in the first round since Javon Walker in 2002. They change that here with Mayer who has been compared to Rob Gronkowski for the last three years. He is an excellent tight end that dominates at the catch point and with route running.
16. Washington Commanders: Penn State CB Joey Porter Jr.
The Commanders are expected to tag DT Da’Ron Payne giving them one less need and getting a physical cornerback to play across from Benjamin St. Juste. Porter Jr. is a physical monster who has incredible length and great ball skills.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Clemson DT Bryan Bresee
The Steelers have multiple needs and they have three picks in the top 50 to address their needs. Bresee is a great player to add to an aging defensive line. Cam Heyward isn’t going to be around forever and Bresee can learn from him while being a rotational piece.
18. Detroit Lions: South Carolina CB Cam Smith
After being gifted Will Anderson at sixth overall, they need to address the cornerback position, as it was a disaster opposite of Jeff Okudah. Smith has the athleticism and size to play in a variety of schemes and would be a nice addition for the Lions as they try to load up for the future.
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Iowa EDGE Lukas Van Ness
Let’s face it. The Buccaneers are going to have to take a major step back before they can compete again so grabbing talent is important. Van Ness will add an explosive element to their pass rush and has a ton of potential to grown and develop.
20. Seattle Seahawks: Auburn EDGE Derick Hall
They got their starting quarterback at five and they fortify their defensive line with Hall. A bigger edge who might be best suited playing at 5T in the NFL, Hall is a physical monster who plays big and will complement their pass rush really well.
Forfeited: Miami Dolphins
The Miami Dolphins forfeited their first-round pick in 2023 and third-round pick in 2024 due to Stephen Ross tampering with Tom Brady and Sean Payton.
21. Los Angeles Chargers: Ohio State WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba
The Chargers need a wide receiver who thrives at winning with route running and can create separation with quickness and savvy in quick order. Smith-Njigba can do that and thrives after the catch, something that the Chargers also need in droves.
22. Baltimore Ravens: TCU WR Quentin Johnston
The Ravens hired Todd Monken to come in and fix their offense. What he brings to the Ravens is an offense with Air Raid principles and that is the offense that Johnston thrived in at TCU. He needs some time to grow an NFL route tree, but you won’t find a big X-reciever like Johnston with this quick of feet.
23. Minnesota Vikings: Alabama S Brian Branch
The Vikings need help in the secondary and prioritizing the slot isn’t the worst idea in the world. Branch is the epitome of versatile and that is what Brian Flores prioritizes. Getting him would be a great asset for a defense that is going to be more aggressive
24. Jacksonville Jaguars: Ohio State OT Dawand Jones
The Jaguars could be losing RT Jawaan Taylor in free agency and they need to protect Trevor Lawrence. Jones has an insane wingspan of over 89″ and moves much better than you would anticipate a player weighing 375 lbs to do.
25. New York Giants: Minnesota C John Michael Schmitz
The Giants are projected to try and keep Daniel Jones and they need to find a way to keep him upright. With the tackles set for at least the next few years, getting help on the interior will be a priority. Schmitz was a four-year starter for the Golden Gophers and play in a variety of schemes while being a day-one starter.
26. Dallas Cowboys: Florida OG O'Cyrus Torrence
Jerry Jones loves to draft offensive lineman. He did so last season with Tyler Smith and goes back to the well with the best interior offensive lineman in the class in Torrence. In 1,501 pass blocking snaps in college, Torrence only allowed one quarterback hit and 25 pressures per Pro Football Focus.
27. Buffalo Bills: Tennessee WR Jalin Hyatt
The Bills need to find a way to add to their weapons and Hyatt gives them an element that they don’t currently have: deep speed. Hyatt looks primed to run in the 4.2’s and his speed is truly game-changing. With Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis currently on the roster, the Bills would have a very talented and diverse receiving corps.
28. Cincinnati Bengals: Texas RB Bijan Robinson
With the Bengals primed to sign all of Joe Burrow, Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase, they may be ready to move on from Joe Mixon and replacing him with a fringe-generational running back in Robinson. He does a little bit of everything and is the best pass blocking running back in the class.
29. New Orleans Saints: Boston College WR Zay Flowers
The Saints made multiple moves to get up and take Chris Olave but they also might move on from Michael Thomas as well. Flowers would be a great complement to Olave’s route running acumen with his route running and deep speed.
30. Philadelphia Eagles: Georgia CB Kelee Ringo
The Eagles need some cornerbacks with them being unlikely to re-sign James Bradbury and Darius Slay on the wrong side of 30. Ringo needs a lot of work with technique, but his size and insane athleticism is worth betting on, especially at pick 30.
31. Kansas City Chiefs: Georgia Tech EDGE Keion White
Steve Spagnuolo loves having bigger edge rushers and White is incredibly intriguing. He plays at 280 lbs but carries it incredibly well and can truly play on the edge. On passing downs, you can slide him inside as well and he can attack from the interior.