So far this year, 43 state legislative incumbents—eight Democrats and 35 Republicans—have lost to primary challengers.
Across the 14 states that have held primaries, 2.6% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, or 11.4% of the incumbents who were contested. That represents a 31% decrease from 2024 and sits 23% below the average of 56 incumbent losses each year from 2010 to 2024.