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Let’s get one thing straight. I don’t know where the stock market is going next. I never do. Because investing in the stock market has never been about guessing which direction it will go next. That’s why I love horse racing, because I can bet $1 at a time if I want, and I find out quickly if I was “right” or not.
But the stock market is a much more serious endeavor for most of us. As such, guessing is not a great strategy. Unfortunately, so much of what passes for “analysis” these days is really just an overwhelming amount of guessing.