Chinese President Xi Jinping's upcoming six-day European tour, starting in France, marks his first return to the continent since 2019. During his last visit, Xi was warmly welcomed in Italy, where the country joined China's Belt and Road initiative. However, the current climate in Europe towards China has significantly shifted.
Recent events, such as the EU launching trade probes into China's wind turbines and medical equipment procurement, as well as arrests related to alleged espionage linked to China in Germany and the UK, reflect the growing concerns about China's global ambitions and influence.
Italy's formal exit from the Belt and Road initiative earlier this year dealt a blow to China, highlighting the mounting economic grievances within the EU. The EU is now preparing for potential trade confrontations with China, amidst suspicions about Beijing's intentions, particularly its ties with Russia amid the conflict in Ukraine.
Xi's trip aims to address these concerns and win over critics, while also showcasing China's positive aspects. However, major breakthroughs with China's critics in Europe may be challenging without significant concessions from Xi.
Meetings with European leaders, such as European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and French President Emmanuel Macron, will focus on trade issues and security concerns. Von der Leyen has been leading efforts to address trade distortions from China, while Macron's more independent stance within the EU could offer Xi an opportunity to strengthen ties.
Xi is also expected to discuss China's relations with Russia and its role in peace efforts in Ukraine. However, concerns about China's exports to Russia fueling the conflict could strain relations further.
While Xi's visits to Serbia and Hungary are likely to be less contentious, focusing on investments and partnerships, his interactions with leaders in these countries may highlight the differing views on China within Europe.
Overall, Xi's trip to Europe reflects the complex dynamics between China and the EU, with economic, security, and geopolitical considerations shaping the discussions and outcomes of the visit.
