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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
Sport
Jack Snape in Oakland

World Cup Group D permutations: supercomputer says Socceroos will progress

The Socceroos line up for a team photo
The Socceroos have been given a near-94% chance of progressing to the knockout stage of the World Cup. Photograph: John Carusi/ZUMA Press Wire/Shutterstock

Cowards, pragmatists or stoic idealists: the Socceroos must decide this week how much they dare anger the footballing gods. They approach their final group match on Thursday (Friday AEST) against Paraguay in the box seat to progress to the knockout round, but also with a chance to negotiate with their opponents to do a sensible if unseemly deal that mutually benefits them both.

In almost 94% of simulations of the World Cup by sports data agency Opta, Australia will progress to the round of 32. At the start of the tournament, Opta assessed Australia’s chances of progressing at 59%, underscoring just how important the three points against Turkey were.

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