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The Conversation

Politics

W. Joseph Campbell, Professor of Communication Studies, American University School of Communication

With memories of embarrassments still fresh, election pollsters face big tests in 2022 midterm elections

Patrick Murray Phil Murphy Donald Trump George Gallup Hillary Clinton Susan Collins Joe Biden New Jersey Ron Johnson CNN

In Maine's 2020 Senate race, not one poll showed the GOP incumbent, Susan Collins, in the lead. But she trounced her Democratic challenger by 9 points. AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty

When it became clear his poll had erred in the 2021 New Jersey governor’s race, Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, acknowledged:

“I blew it.”

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