
There is no doubt the election is Labour’s to lose. For the Conservatives to prevail would require the most remarkable turnaround in modern electoral history.
It will be a long and gruelling campaign. Senior Tories hope that Sir Keir Starmer’s inexperience and his party’s reputation for Left-wing extremism can be exploited. It should not be forgotten that Labour itself has a mountain to climb having suffered a calamitous defeat in 2019. Yet there is no precedent for closing a gap of more than 20 points in the polls during the course of an election. This points to a sizeable majority for Starmer’s party.