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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Dan Sabbagh Defence and security editor

Win, lose, stalemate or a shock: how might the Ukraine war end?

Members of a Ukrainian artillery unit fire on Russian positions around Vuhledar, in the Donetsk region
Members of a Ukrainian artillery unit fire on Russian positions around Vuhledar, in the Donetsk region, in December. Photograph: Chris McGrath/Getty Images

Ukraine’s war reaches the one-year mark with no immediate end in sight. Both sides want to carry on fighting, and any negotiated peace looks a long way off. So how might the war end? Here are five scenarios to consider.

Russian offensive succeeds

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