MIAMI — A disturbance near Bermuda formed a well-defined center Monday afternoon and now has a high chance of turning into a tropical depression within the next several hours.
Forecasters also have their eyes on the Atlantic waters north of Puerto Rico, where an area of low pressure is expected to form within the next few days.
The system that could soon turn into a depression was producing relatively concentrated showers about 100 miles east-southeast of Bermuda on Monday afternoon, according to the National Hurricane Center.
“If the thunderstorm activity persists near the center, the disturbance will likely become a tropical depression later today or tonight while it moves west-northwestward and passes near Bermuda,” the hurricane center said in its 2 p.m. Eastern time advisory. Then it’s expected to turn north and move into cooler waters, where it will be battered by unfavorable upper-level winds, which should limit its development chances.
For now, the hurricane center is giving the system, which is marked red on the map, a 70% chance of formation through the next two to five days.
The hurricane center also expects an area of low pressure will form in the Atlantic north of Puerto Rico in the next few days. Forecasters think conditions will be friendly enough for the system, which is marked yellow on the map, to gradually develop subtropical characteristics as it meanders over the Atlantic through the early part of the weekend.
Forecasters upped the system’s formation chances from 20% to 30% through the next five days. It has no chance of formation within the next 48 hours.
Lisa is the next name on the list for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season.