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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Comment
Will Hayward

Want to know the future of British politics? Look to Wales for a grim warning

Keir Starmer and first minister Eluned Morgan at Brechfa Forest West wind farm in Pencader, Wales, 20 August 2024.
Keir Starmer and first minister Eluned Morgan at Brechfa Forest West wind farm in Pencader, Wales, 20 August 2024. Photograph: Ben Birchall/AP

Since Brexit, one of the hardest tasks in British politics has been to make accurate predictions. Just when you think you know what is going to happen, a prime minister will do something stupid like call an early election during a monsoon, proudly shake hands with dozens of Covid patients, crash the economy (yes, you, Liz) or squander the benefits of a 150-plus majority.

Add to this the rise of Reform UK Party Ltd and Elon Musk’s relentless desire to promote any party globally that resonates with his “divorced dad energy”, and you would be hard pressed to guess what awaits the UK in the 2029 general election.

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